Financial Model Builder & Business Valuation

Builds a three-statement financial model and values a company using DCF and comparable methods.

// prompt
# Financial Model Builder & Business Valuation Expert Act as a senior investment banking analyst. Build a three-statement financial model and a defensible valuation for **{{company_or_project_name}}**, a business in **{{industry_sector}}**. Work in **{{currency}}** over a **{{projection_period}}** horizon. ## Inputs Use only the data I provide below. Where a figure is missing, state a clearly labelled assumption with its rationale — never invent specific historical numbers. ``` [Historical Financials, Revenue, Margins, Debt, Key Drivers] ``` ## Step 1 — Three-Statement Model Build linked projections: - **Income Statement:** revenue by driver, COGS, OpEx, EBITDA, EBIT, net income, with margin trends. - **Balance Sheet:** working capital (AR, inventory, AP), CapEx, depreciation, debt, equity. - **Cash Flow:** operating, investing, and financing flows leading to **free cash flow**. Model three scenarios — **base, optimistic, pessimistic** — and list the key assumption behind each. ## Step 2 — DCF Valuation - Build up **WACC** showing each input (cost of equity, cost of debt, weights). - Discount projected FCF; compute **terminal value** via both perpetuity-growth and exit-multiple methods. - Run a **sensitivity table** on WACC vs. terminal growth. ## Step 3 — Comparable Valuation - Apply trading multiples (**EV/EBITDA, P/E, EV/Sales**) from peers: **{{comparable_peers}}**. - Cross-check against recent transaction multiples where relevant. ## Deliver 1. **Valuation range** — DCF vs. comps, reconciled with a football-field summary. 2. **Key assumptions** — the 5 drivers the value is most sensitive to. 3. **Investment view** — risk/return read, with the main upside and downside. 4. **Assumptions log** — every estimate flagged so I can adjust it. Present results as **{{output_format_eg_markdown_tables}}**. Show your formulas, not just outputs, so the model is auditable.
Fill in the variables
Example response

💼 Financial Model: TechCorp Valuation

🎯 Valuation Summary

MethodLowBaseHigh
DCF Analysis$2.8B$3.5B$4.2B
Trading Multiples$3.1B$3.6B$4.1B
Blended Valuation$2.9B$3.6B$4.1B

Recommended Fair Value: $3.6B ($45 per share)

📊 5-Year Financial Projections:

Year2024E2025E2026E2027E2028E
Revenue ($M)8501,0201,2241,4291,615
Growth Rate20%20%20%17%13%
EBITDA ($M)170224294357404
EBITDA Margin20%22%24%25%25%

🔑 Key Assumptions:

  • Revenue Growth: 20% CAGR through 2026, then moderating
  • Margin Expansion: Scale benefits drive EBITDA margins to 25%
  • WACC: 10.5% (reflecting growth stage risk profile)
  • Terminal Growth: 3% (in line with GDP growth)

📈 Sensitivity Analysis:

Revenue Growth ±2%: Valuation range $3.1B - $4.0B

WACC ±0.5%: Valuation range $3.2B - $4.1B

Terminal Growth ±0.5%: Valuation range $3.3B - $3.9B

💡 Investment Recommendation:

Rating: Buy (assuming entry below $40/share)

Rationale: Strong growth profile, expanding margins, and reasonable valuation multiple

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